Contents on 25 February '12
- Traffic Report -- five objects
- IAU Minor Planet Center
- NEOCP Activity -- 49 listings
- New MPECs -- two MPECs
- Observers -- eighteen observers
- Impact Risk Monitoring -- four objects
- Chronology
Asteroid/Comet Connection (A/CC) Resources:
- Consolidated Risk Tables - the CRT page (archive)
Of 444 risk-listed objects, 31 have had news in the last 31 days. Updated at 2309 UTC on 25 Feb.
- Ephemerides for risk-rated & nearby objects + potential mission destinations
- News image catalog
- News old archive & Small Objects Archive
- Object Links - mainly for radar targets & close passers - updated 14 Feb.
- Observing Campaigns
The latest A/CC news is available via framed access,
RSS news feed, or redirection. - Note: A/CC has a main Web site and also a backup site with its own duplicate RSS news feed.
Navigation tips: Use the << and >> arrows on the menus for each regular section (Observers, Risks, etc.) to move to the previous and next day's news for that section. Use the Index menu item to access specific days through a calendar interface. And use the all-up news archive to access news from any time since A/CC began in early 2002. To keep track of what's new each day, watch the Chronology section.
Traffic Report on 25 February '12
Five objects reported inside ten LD
There are five asteroids reported traveling inside ten lunar distances (LD) of our planet today. Within Earth's Hill sphere, risk-listed 2012 CS46 may be coming its closest to Earth this time around, reaching 2.7 LD at 2305 UTC with an uncertainty of 16.8500 hours. Further out, radar target 2012 DX13 comes its closest to Earth this time, reaching 4.85 LD at 1518 UTC, 2012 DX exits ten LD, traveling from 7.94 to 10.26 LD, 2012 DZ exits ten LD, moving from 7.95 to 11.52 LD, and 2012 DY travels from 9.32 to 9.85 LD.
Coming toward Earth, 2008 EJ85 arrives inside ten LD on March 4th.
This report was posted at 1540 UTC with follow-up in today's DOU MPEC for 2012 DA14, 2012 DY13, and 2012 DX13.
Notes: Ten LD has no astronomical significance but is a useful reporting boundary. Earth's Hill sphere (of gravitational influence) is estimated to extend out to around 3.89 LD. Distances are interpreted by A/CC from JPL Horizons data. See also today's timeline, current sky chart and object details (alt-details), and ephemerides.
NEOCP Activity on 25 February '12
The MPC's NEO Confirmation Page has 49 listings
When last checked at 2359 UTC today, the Minor Planet Center's Near Earth Object discovery Confirmation Page (NEOCP) had 49 objects listed. Of these, eleven were "one nighters." So far The Tracking News has counted a total of 54 listings on the NEOCP today.
To learn how observers use the NEOCP, see the Practical guide on how to observe NEOCP object at Suno Observatory by Birtwhistle et al.
New MPECs on 25 February '12
Minor Planet Electronic Circulars
As of last check at 2359 UTC, there have been two MPECs posted today from the International Astronomical Union's Minor Planet Center in Cambridge, Massachusetts.
- MPEC 2012-D60 time-stamped "06:04 UT" - Daily Orbit Update - see below
- MPEC 2012-D61 time-stamped "23:53 UT" - 2010 DF1
MPEC 2012-D61 - "23:53 UT" - 2010 DF1
- K10D01F 2010 DF1 (borderline-small, H=21.9 ~141m) from the Mt. Lemmon Survey (MLS) (Feb. 25.29-32p6), the Spacewatch 1.8m telescope (Feb. 25.37-38p3), Magdalena Ridge Obs. (MRO) (Feb. 25.39-41p4), and Great Shefford Obs. (Feb. 25.95-97p2)
<< DOU on 25 Feb. '12 >> MPEC 2012-D60 - "06:04 UT" - Daily Orbit Update
- Observations of risk-listed objects
- K12D14A 2012 DA14 (small asteroid, arc=2 days, H=24.3 ~47m, close passer) from La Sagra Obs. (Feb. 25.05-06p3)
- K12D13Y 2012 DY13 (small asteroid, arc=3 days, H=27.9 ~9m, close passer) from MLS (Feb. 24.30-34p4) and Spacewatch 1.8m (Feb. 25.17-19p3)
- K12C21A 2012 CA21 (Q=4.398 AU, arc=13 days, H=19.3 ~467m) from MLS (Feb. 24.13-14p4) and Spacewatch 1.8m (Feb. 25.11p3)
- K12B86J 2012 BJ86 (arc=27 days, H=21.7 ~155m) from Spacewatch 1.8m (Feb. 25.10p3)
- Observations of recently (no longer) risk-listed objects
- K12D00N 2012 DN (arc=9 days, H=18.4 ~708m) from Spacewatch 1.8m (Feb. 25.21-22p2)
- Observations of close-passing objects
- K12D13X 2012 DX13 (arc=8 days, H=24.0 ~54m, close passer, radar support) from Doc Greiner Research Obs. Rancho Hildalgo (DGRO-RH) (Feb. 23.18-19p7), the Catalina Sky Survey (CSS) (Feb. 24.24-27p3, 24.33p4 & 24.39-46p11), and Betelgeuse Station (Feb. 24.89-90p6)
- U8635 308635 2005 YU55 (close passer) from Kiev Comet Station (Nov. 28.82-93p35)
- Observation campaigns (radar support, potential mission destinations)
- K11Y74U 2011 YU74 (arc=56 days, H=23.0 ~85m, PMD candidate) from David Tholen's team on Mauna Kea (Feb. 4.40p3)
-- Potential mission destinations list & ephemerides -- Planetary radar schedules: Arecibo & Goldstone - Observations of small (H>22.0) & smallish (21.7<H<=22.0) asteroids
- K12D13Z 2012 DZ13 (arc=1 day, H=24.1 ~51m) from DGRO-RH (Feb. 23.19-20p5)
- K12D08O 2012 DO8 (arc=3 days, H=22.1 ~129m) from Spacewatch 1.8m (Feb. 24.46-47p3)
- K12B77K 2012 BK77 (arc=29 days, H=22.4 ~112m) from CSS (Feb. 24.22-24p4)
- K12C36Q 2012 CQ36 (arc=12 days, H=21.9 ~141m) from Spacewatch 1.8m (Feb. 25.12p3)
- Observations of other asteroidal objects
- K12D08P 2012 DP8 (arc=4 days, H=19.8 ~371m) from Spacewatch 1.8m (Feb. 24.51-52p3)
- K12D04J 2012 DJ4 (arc=6 days, H=20.3 ~295m) from Spacewatch 1.8m (Feb. 24.45-46p3) and the Spacewatch 0.9m telescope (Feb. 25.15-18p3)
- K12D04H 2012 DH4 (arc=6 days, H=20.6 ~257m) from Pan-STARRS 1 (PS1) (Feb. 24.50-54p4)
- K12D00O 2012 DO (arc=7 days, H=20.3 ~295m) from Robert Holmes via Cerro Tololo Inter-American Obs. (CTIO) (Feb. 24.02-03p4)
- K12C29D 2012 CD29 (q=0.360 AU, arc=11 days, H=20.0 ~339m) from Betelgeuse Sta. (Feb. 24.93p3)
- K12C02K 2012 CK2 (arc=23 days, H=18.8 ~589m) from Spacewatch 1.8m (Feb. 24.52-53p3)
- K12BD4J 2012 BJ134 (q=0.374 AU, Q=4.138 AU, arc=36 days, H=18.2 ~776m) from Zonalunar Obs. (Feb. 23.90-91p2) and Betelgeuse Sta. (Feb. 24.91p6)
- K12B23T 2012 BT23 (arc=35 days, H=19.0 ~537m) from Balzaretto Obs. (Feb. 23.79-80p4)
- K12A11A 2012 AA11 (arc=41 days, H=20.0 ~339m) from Balzaretto Obs. (Feb. 23.89-91p3)
- K11Y15V 2011 YV15 (Q=4.394 AU, arc=3 opp, H=17.1 ~1.29 km) from Zonalunar Obs. (Feb. 23.96-99p2)
- K11SA2L 2011 SL102 (arc=3 opp, H=18.2 ~776m) from Zonalunar Obs. (Feb. 24.02-04p2) and CSS (Feb. 24.34-36p4)
- K11S26O 2011 SO26 (Q=4.133 AU, arc=157 days, H=20.7 ~245m) from PS1 (Feb. 24.49-53p2)
- K10R42J 2010 RJ42 (arc=2 opp, H=19.6 ~407m) from Spacewatch 0.9m (Feb. 24.41-44p3)
- K09Q08E 2009 QE8 (arc=3 opp, H=18.1 ~812m) from PS1 (Feb. 24.54-57p4)
- K09C05T 2009 CT5 (q=0.278 AU, arc=2 opp, H=18.7 ~616m) from Spacewatch 0.9m (Feb. 25.17-19p2)
- K08C01H 2008 CH1 (arc=3 opp, H=21.6 ~162m) from CSS (Feb. 24.36-39p4)
- K08A28V 2008 AV28 (arc=3 opp, H=19.5 ~426m) from CSS (Feb. 24.29-32p4)
- K07D00K 2007 DK (arc=5 opp, H=19.4 ~446m) from PS1 (Feb. 24.50-53p3)
- K02C46W 2002 CW46 (arc=4 opp, H=18.9 ~562m) from PS1 (Feb. 24.55-57p3)
- V0737 310737 2002 QG24 from MLS (Feb. 24.16-18p4)
- R6049 276049 2002 CE26 from Spacewatch 0.9m (Feb. 24.23-27p3)
- N8063 238063 2003 EG from Spacewatch 0.9m (Feb. 24.34-38p3)
- K9924 209924 2005 WS55 from Balzaretto Obs. (Feb. 23.81-82p4)
- D8155 138155 2000 ES70 from CSS (Feb. 24.10-13p4)
- D7925 137925 2000 BJ19 from CSS (Feb. 24.24-27p4)
- D7170 137170 1999 HF1 from Etscorn Obs. (2011 June 28.15-16p3)
- D7084 137084 1998 XS16 from MLS (Feb. 24.12-14p4)
- A1873 101873 1999 NC5 from MASTER-II Obs. Tunka (Feb. 23.56p1 & 23.60p1) and CSS (Feb. 24.34-36p4)
- 53110 53110 1999 AR7 from MLS (Feb. 24.51-53p4)
- 39557 39557 Gielgud (1992 JG) from MLS (Feb. 24.35-38p4)
- 21277 21277 1996 TO5 from LINEAR (Feb. 24.34-39p5) and PS1 (Feb. 24.54-57p4)
- 16912 16912 Rhiannon (1998 EP8) from PS1 (Feb. 24.55-58p3)
- 03102 3102 Krok (1981 QA) from PS1 (Feb. 24.54-58p4)
- 01917 1917 Cuyo (1968 AA) from CSS (Feb. 24.10-12p4)
- 01620 1620 Geographos (1951 RA) from CSS (Feb. 24.17-20p5)
Observers on 25 February '12
Eighteen observers appear in today's MPECs.
| Code | Observer / observatory |
|---|---|
| A81 | Balzaretto Obs. in Italy, 3 in MPEC 2012-D60 -- 2012 BT23, 2012 AA11, 209924 |
| B75 | Betelgeuse Station in Italy, 3 in MPEC 2012-D60 -- 2012 DX13, 2012 CD29, 2012 BJ134 |
| 703 | Catalina Sky Survey (CSS) in Arizona, 10 in MPEC 2012-D60 -- 2012 DX13, 2012 BK77, 2011 SL102, 2008 CH1, 2008 AV28, 138155, 137925, 101873, 1917, 1620 |
| 807| | Robert Holmes in Illinois via Cerro Tololo Inter-American Obs. in Chile, 1 in MPEC 2012-D60 -- 2012 DO |
| G48 | Doc Greiner Research Obs. Rancho Hildalgo (DGRO-RH) in New Mexico, 2 in MPEC 2012-D60 -- 2012 DZ13, 2012 DX13 |
| 719 | Etscorn Obs. in New Mexico, 1 in MPEC 2012-D60 -- 137170 |
| J95 | Great Shefford Obs. in England, 1 in MPEC 2012-D61 -- 2010 DF1 |
| 585 | Kiev Comet Station in the Ukraine, 1 in MPEC 2012-D60 -- 308635 |
| 704 | LINEAR in New Mexico, 1 in MPEC 2012-D60 -- 21277 |
| J75 | La Sagra Obs. in Spain, 1 in MPEC 2012-D60 -- 2012 DA14 |
| C94 | MASTER-II Obs. Tunka in Russia, 1 in MPEC 2012-D60 -- 101873 |
| H01 | Magdalena Ridge Obs. in New Mexico, 1 in MPEC 2012-D61 -- 2010 DF1 |
| 5682 | David Tholen's team on Mauna Kea in Hawaii, 1 in MPEC 2012-D60 -- 2011 YU74 |
| G96 | Mt. Lemmon Survey (MLS) in Arizona, 7 in MPECs 2012-D60 & 2012-D61 -- 2012 DY13, 2012 CA21, 2010 DF1, 53110, 39557, 310737, 137084 |
| F51 | Pan-STARRS 1 (PS1) in Hawaii, 8 in MPEC 2012-D60 -- 2012 DH4, 2011 SO26, 2009 QE8, 2007 DK, 2002 CW46, 21277, 16912, 3102 |
| 691 | Spacewatch 0.9m telescope in Arizona, 5 in MPEC 2012-D60 -- 2012 DJ4, 2010 RJ42, 2009 CT5, 276049, 238063 |
| 291 | Spacewatch 1.8m telescope in Arizona, 10 in MPECs 2012-D60 & 2012-D61 -- 2012 DY13, 2012 DP8, 2012 DO8, 2012 DN, 2012 DJ4, 2012 CQ36, 2012 CK2, 2012 CA21, 2012 BJ86, 2010 DF1 |
| J08 | Zonalunar Obs. in Spain, 3 in MPEC 2012-D60 -- 2012 BJ134, 2011 YV15, 2011 SL102 |
| For a list of all participating observatories that have Web addresses, see A/CC's Observatory Links page. | |
Impact Risk Monitoring on 25 February '12
| 0000NNN000 Object | Risk Monitor | When Noted UTC | 0000T0000 Year Range | VI # | 000NN00 Prob Cum | T0000 PS Cum | T0000 PS Max | T S | Notes for Today's Latest Risk Assessments |
| 2012 DA14 | NEODyS | 2309 | 2020-2090 | 309 | 2.98e-04 | -3.18 | -4.08 | 0 | NEODyS: "Based on 28 optical observations (of which 2 are rejected as outliers) from 2012-02-23.029 to 2012-02-25.056." |
| JPL Sentry | 1539 | 2020-2075 | 220 | 3.9e-04 | -3.09 | -4.12 | 0 | JPL: "Analysis based on 26 observations spanning 2.0209 days (2012-Feb-23.03431 to 2012-Feb-25.055242)." Diameter approximately 0.047 km. from mean, weighted H=24.3. | |
| 2012 DY13 | NEODyS | 1631 | 2060-2060 | 1 | 5.16e-10 | -10.54 | -10.54 | 0 | NEODyS: "Based on 51 optical observations (of which 0 are rejected as outliers) from 2012-02-22.255 to 2012-02-25.194." |
| JPL Sentry | 1539 | R E M O V E D | JPL: Risk listing removed at 0956 UTC. | ||||||
| 2012 CA21 | JPL Sentry | 1930 | 2073 | 1 | 1.5e-05 | -1.94 | -1.94 | 1 | JPL: "Analysis based on 79 observations spanning 12.991 days (2012-Feb-12.12022 to 2012-Feb-25.11154)." Diameter approximately 0.470 km. from mean, weighted H=19.3. |
| NEODyS | 1539 | 2073-2073 | 1 | 3.19e-06 | -2.61 | -2.61 | 0 | NEODyS: "Based on 79 optical observations (of which 3 are rejected as outliers) from 2012-02-12.121 to 2012-02-25.112." | |
| 2012 BJ86 | JPL Sentry | 1539 | 2112 | 1 | 3.2e-07 | -5.04 | -5.04 | 0 | JPL: "Analysis based on 57 observations spanning 26.999 days (2012-Jan-29.10142 to 2012-Feb-25.10063)." Diameter approximately 0.160 km. from mean, weighted H=21.6. |
| NEODyS | 1539 | 2084-2084 | 2 | 5.3e-09 | -6.71 | -6.98 | 0 | NEODyS: "Based on 49 optical observations (of which 0 are rejected as outliers) from 2012-01-29.102 to 2012-02-25.101." | |
Legend: VI# = VI count, Prob Cum = cumulative probability, PS Cum/Max = cumulative/maximum Palermo Scale, TS = Torino Scale
An impact solution, also known as a "virtual impactor" (VI), is not a prediction but rather a possibility derived from a variant orbit calculation that cannot be eliminated yet based on the existing data. Elimination can come quickly with just a little further observation or may take weeks or months, sometimes years. Once superceded or eliminated, a former impact solution has zero relevance to an object's risk. See Jon Giorgini's "Understanding Risk Pages" to learn more.
Chronology on 25 February '12
Times are UTC for when items were noted or added by The Tracking News.
| 2359 | Grabbed MPEC 2012-D61 - 2010 DF1 - see above |
| 2309 | Noted that NEODyS has posted 2012 DA14 as an impact risk - see above |
| 1930 | Noted that JPL Sentry has updated its 2012 CA21 risk assessment - see above |
| 1631 | Noted that NEODyS has updated its 2012 DY13 risk assessment - see above |
| 1540 | Posted Traffic Report |
| 1539 | Noted that JPL Sentry has updated its 2012 BJ86 risk assessment - see above Noted that NEODyS has updated its 2012 BJ86 risk assessment - see above Noted that NEODyS has updated its 2012 CA21 risk assessment - see above Noted that JPL Sentry has updated its 2012 DA14 risk assessment - see above Noted that JPL Sentry has removed 2012 DY13 as an impact risk - see above Grabbed MPEC 2012-D60 - Daily Orbit Update - see above |